Apple’s June quarter will not be doom and gloom, analyst says

In a word to traders seen by AppleInsider, JP Morgan analyst Samik Chatterjee writes that he’s “not as frightened because the Road” about Apple’s upcoming earnings report on July 28. Whereas there could also be medium-term dangers, he expects income and earnings-per-share to be resilient.

Relative to the conservative steerage from Apple throughout its final earnings name, Chatterjee believes that near-term estimates are higher than anticipated.

The analyst says that higher provide chain dynamics will “overwhelm” the modest demand weak point and Apple’s warning of a $4 billion to $8 billion income hit within the June quarter. His expectations are actually in-line with sell-side consensus, however higher than buy-side expectations.

Wall Road is forecasting that Apple will report revenues of $82 billion within the June quarter, which is essentially in-line with Chatterjee’s personal expectations of $82.1 billion. Nevertheless, his forecast is larger than low and buy-side estimates, that are hovering within the $78 billion vary.

For instance, Chatterjee says that product segments exterior of the Mac are seemingly unaffected by the provision headwinds. Moreover, the income hit is monitoring under the low finish of the $4 billion to $8 billion vary by his estimates.

Alternatively, past the close to quarter, Chatterjee has revised his income and earnings forecast downward modestly. He cites probably decrease Mac and iPad development as client spending softens.

He does add that the revision is prone to be erased by Apple’s pricing energy and its potential to repurchase shares. Total, Chatterjee believes Apple shares properly well-positioned for outperformance.

The analyst maintains his 12-month Apple worth goal of $200, which is predicated on a price-to-earnings a number of of 30x on his 2023 earnings estimate of $6.73.